David Gorgos: I couldn't have picked a better time to take a hiatus than the last few months. American Gangster almost doubled what I thought it would do, Martian Child tanked, Gone Baby Gone came and went. Well, this week doesn't look any easier. Will Fred Claus open big like Elf, or bomb like Surviving Christmas? Will P2 disappoint like so many horror flicks, despite the trailers that make it look scary and original? And will Lions for Lambs open like a Tom Cruise movie, or like a liberal Iraqi movie?
I'm hedging my bets on the latter two. Lions should do better than the other antiwar polemics due to the starpower, but will still result in one of the worst openings for Cruise, Robert Redford and Meryl Streep at around $8 million; its future is on DVD (sign up for a TLA Alert, hint hint). P2 likewise shouldn't be a disaster; $3000 per screen for a $6 million total is not out of the question. But since Fred Claus looks fun & upbeat from the commercials, and is probably critic-proof, it should break past $30 million to take first place. Despite the kiddie competition, Bee Movie should have a smaller week-to-week drop than American Gangster and sneak into second place.
| Film | David Gorgos | |
| Fred Claus | $30.9 million | |
| Bee Movie | $25.9 million | |
| American Gangster | $23.1 million | |
| Lions for Lambs | $8.1 million | |
| P2 | $6.2 million | |
| Dan in Real Life | $4.9 million | |
| Saw IV | $4.1 million | |
| The Game Plan | $2.7 million | |
| The Martian Child | $2.2 million | |
| 30 Days of Night | $1.8 million |
Content © TLA Entertainment Group
Fred Claus picture © Warner
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